Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • Campo Conde de Sucena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.25) 0.63 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 34.6% 23.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.3%
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
1º Dezembro 0 20.3% 12.8% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.4% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.4% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric1º DezembroLusitano Évora 1911
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack40%40%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric 1º Dezembro Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins20%10%15%70%0%35%
Draws50%30%40%0%40%20%
Loses30%60%45%30%60%45%

Form: 1º Dezembro: WWDDDLLLLDDDWLLDLDLL • Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLLDWLLWWDLLLWDWDLW

League goals

Metric 1º Dezembro Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
GF total871514620
GF avg0.80.70.81.40.61.0
GA total11172871522
GA avg1.11.71.40.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line1º DezembroLusitano Évora 1911
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%65%80%
1.515%30%20%20%
2.50%15%10%10%
3.50%10%5%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric1º DezembroLusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Clean sheets314404
Failed to score448347

Penalties

Metric1º DezembroLusitano Évora 1911
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

Metric1º DezembroLusitano Évora 1911
Wins22
Draws31
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-1
Biggest losses1-54-00-23-0
Goals For2241
Goals Against5423

Model comparison

Metric1º DezembroLusitano Évora 1911
Form20%80%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lusitano Évora 1911

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ William Hill
Away2.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): 1º Dezembro = 0.96 (league 1.25), Lusitano Évora 1911 = 0.63 (league 1.04)

Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
1º Dezembro 0 20.3% 12.8% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.4% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.4% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 23.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1