Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 • Campo Estrela
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.25) 0.48 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.2% 28.3% 13.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.6%
0 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitano Évora 1911 0 16.0% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.6% 10.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.6% 7.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Caldas
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack25%31%
Defense69%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitano Évora 1911 Caldas
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins70%0%33%45%30%38%
Draws0%45%24%18%10%14%
Loses30%55%43%36%60%48%

Form: Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLLDWLLWWDLLLWDWDLWD • Caldas: WWLDWDWWDLLLLLLLLWWLW

League goals

Metric Lusitano Évora 1911 Caldas
HATHAT
GF total1472114721
GF avg1.40.61.01.30.71.0
GA total71623141226
GA avg0.71.51.11.31.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitano Évora 1911Caldas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%81%67%76%
1.519%19%33%38%
2.510%10%0%5%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Caldas
HATHAT
Clean sheets404145
Failed to score347257

Penalties

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Caldas
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Caldas
Wins22
Draws11
Losses38

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-10-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-24-2
Goals For4122
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Caldas
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away4.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lusitano Évora 1911 = 1.35 (league 1.25), Caldas = 0.48 (league 1.01)

Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitano Évora 1911 0 16.0% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.6% 10.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.6% 7.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.2% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 13.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1