Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:00 • Municipal das Laranjeiras
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.25) 0.33 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.3% 26.2% 8.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.7%
2 - 0
17.7%
0 - 0
17.2%
Score & goals probability table
Fafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paredes 0 17.2% 5.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 8.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 5.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.5% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParedesFafe
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack44%44%
Defense81%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paredes Fafe
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%36%38%64%10%38%
Draws60%27%43%18%40%29%
Loses0%36%19%18%50%33%

Form: Paredes: LDDDDDWLDWLDDWWWDWWWL • Fafe: LDDLDWWWLDWDLLWWLDWLW

League goals

Metric Paredes Fafe
HATHAT
GF total121527171128
GF avg1.21.41.31.51.11.3
GA total31114101525
GA avg0.31.00.70.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParedesFafe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%52%76%71%
1.548%14%38%29%
2.519%0%14%10%
3.50%0%5%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParedesFafe
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310516
Failed to score448235

Penalties

MetricParedesFafe
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricParedesFafe
Wins33
Draws52
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-00-4
Biggest losses—2-10-25-1
Goals For3334
Goals Against1225

Model comparison

MetricParedesFafe
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Paredes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.87 @ Pinnacle
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paredes = 1.44 (league 1.25), Fafe = 0.33 (league 1.01)

Fafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paredes 0 17.2% 5.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 8.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 5.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.5% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 8.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1