Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 16:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.25) 0.69 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.2% 40.1% 32.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.4%
0 - 1
19.0%
1 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Covilha 0 27.4% 19.0% 6.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 11.4% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack55%27%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Covilha Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins18%27%23%64%0%32%
Draws45%27%36%0%45%23%
Loses36%45%41%36%55%45%

Form: SC Covilha: LLDDDWLDLWDDLLLDDLWWWL • Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLLDWLLWWDLLLWDWDLWDL

League goals

Metric SC Covilha Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
GF total6101614721
GF avg0.50.90.71.30.61.0
GA total13142781624
GA avg1.21.31.20.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%73%64%82%
1.514%36%18%18%
2.55%9%9%9%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Clean sheets336404
Failed to score6410448

Penalties

MetricSC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricSC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911
Wins32
Draws31
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-34-1
Biggest losses0-43-00-23-0
Goals For2341
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricSC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911
Form64%36%
Att67%33%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : SC Covilha or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.69 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.24 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Covilha = 0.60 (league 1.25), Lusitano Évora 1911 = 0.69 (league 1.04)

Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Covilha 0 27.4% 19.0% 6.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 11.4% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 40.1% · Away win 32.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1