Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 14:00 • Medideira Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.23) 1.07 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.7% 31.0% 39.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
0 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amora 0 14.0% 15.0% 8.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 13.4% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmoraCaldas
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack38%50%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amora Caldas
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins17%33%25%38%36%38%
Draws33%17%25%23%9%17%
Loses50%50%50%38%55%46%

Form: Amora: WLDWLLLDWDWDDLLDLWLLLLLW • Caldas: WWLDWDWWDLLLLLLLLWWLWWLD

League goals

Metric Amora Caldas
HATHAT
GF total12102215823
GF avg1.00.80.91.20.71.0
GA total191534161228
GA avg1.61.31.41.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmoraCaldas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%75%67%75%
1.525%42%29%33%
2.58%21%0%4%
3.50%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmoraCaldas
HATHAT
Clean sheets246156
Failed to score5510358

Penalties

MetricAmoraCaldas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAmoraCaldas
Wins12
Draws21
Losses58

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-10-2
Biggest losses0-43-10-24-2
Goals For3222
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricAmoraCaldas
Form30%70%
Att43%57%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Caldas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw2.90 @ Betfair
Away3.03 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 1xBet
No1.77 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Amora = 0.89 (league 1.23), Caldas = 1.07 (league 1.04)

Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amora 0 14.0% 15.0% 8.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 13.4% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 39.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1