Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 16:00 •
Campo Estrela
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.23)
0.77 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.9% | 27.7% | 21.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| SC Covilha | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | 0 | 11.6% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lusitano Évora 1911 | SC Covilha |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lusitano Évora 1911 | SC Covilha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 67% | 8% | 36% | 23% | 33% | 28% |
| Draws | 0% | 46% | 24% | 38% | 25% | 32% |
| Loses | 33% | 46% | 40% | 38% | 42% | 40% |
Lusitano Évora 1911LWLLDWLLWWDLLLWDWDLWDLWDW
SC CovilhaLLDDDWLDLWDDLLLDDLWWWLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Lusitano Évora 1911 | SC Covilha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 18 | 27 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lusitano Évora 1911 | SC Covilha | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 84% | 60% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 16% | 20% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 8% | 4% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lusitano Évora 1911 | SC Covilha | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lusitano Évora 1911 | SC Covilha |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lusitano Évora 1911 | SC Covilha |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lusitano Évora 1911 | SC Covilha |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 63.7% | 36.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.66 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away5.81 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.71 @ Unibet
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League standings
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