Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 • Campo da Mata
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.22) 1.04 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 28.9% 32.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.8%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
SC Covilha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 10.9% 11.3% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.3% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.5% 7.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaldasSC Covilha
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack29%36%
Defense64%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caldas SC Covilha
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins38%38%38%23%31%27%
Draws23%8%15%38%23%31%
Loses38%54%46%38%46%42%
CaldasWWLDWDWWDLLLLLLLLWWLWWLDWL
SC CovilhaLLDDDWLDLWDDLLLDDLWWWLLWWL

League goals

Metric Caldas SC Covilha
HATHAT
GF total15102591221
GF avg1.20.81.00.70.90.8
GA total161531171633
GA avg1.21.21.21.31.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaldasSC Covilha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%77%58%77%
1.531%35%19%35%
2.50%4%4%12%
3.50%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaldasSC Covilha
HATHAT
Clean sheets156336
Failed to score3696511

Penalties

MetricCaldasSC Covilha
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCaldasSC Covilha
Wins23
Draws13
Losses83

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-10-3
Biggest losses0-24-20-43-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricCaldasSC Covilha
Form54%46%
Att44%56%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total46.8%53.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Pinnacle
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings

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