Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 20:00 • Jan Breydel Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.48 (league 1.78) 1.64 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.9% 8.7% 7.5%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.0%
5 - 1
5.4%
3 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Brugge KV 0 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.2% 3.6% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.7% 6.0% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
5 3.3% 5.4% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub Brugge KVAtletico Madrid
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack56%56%
Defense44%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Brugge KV Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
Played6612448
Wins67%50%58%75%25%50%
Draws17%0%8%0%25%13%
Loses17%50%33%25%50%38%

Form: Club Brugge KV: WWWWWLLDLLWW • Atletico Madrid: LWLWWWDL

League goals

Metric Club Brugge KV Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
GF total1992811617
GF avg3.21.52.32.81.52.1
GA total9112051015
GA avg1.51.81.71.32.51.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub Brugge KVAtletico Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%88%100%
1.558%50%63%50%
2.558%33%38%25%
3.525%8%13%13%
4.58%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub Brugge KVAtletico Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricClub Brugge KVAtletico Madrid
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricClub Brugge KVAtletico Madrid
Wins53
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-45-12-3
Biggest losses0-34-01-24-0
Goals For6453
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricClub Brugge KVAtletico Madrid
Form41%59%
Att50%50%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.92 @ 1xBet
Draw3.86 @ 1xBet
Away2.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.20 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.32 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Brugge KV = 4.48 (league 1.78), Atletico Madrid = 1.64 (league 1.37)

Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Brugge KV 0 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.2% 3.6% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.7% 6.0% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
5 3.3% 5.4% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.9% · Draw 8.7% · Away win 7.5%

vtt 12 , vtd1