Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 17:45 • Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.83 (league 1.78) 1.42 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.9% 16.3% 16.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Club Brugge KV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.0% 5.7% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.7% 8.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.6% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.8% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico MadridClub Brugge KV
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack42%42%
Defense63%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid Club Brugge KV
HATHAT
Played4597613
Wins75%20%44%57%50%54%
Draws0%40%22%29%0%15%
Loses25%40%33%14%50%31%

Form: Atletico Madrid: LWLWWWDLD • Club Brugge KV: WWWWWLLDLLWWD

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid Club Brugge KV
HATHAT
GF total1192022931
GF avg2.81.82.23.11.52.4
GA total51318121123
GA avg1.32.62.01.71.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico MadridClub Brugge KV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%100%77%77%
1.567%56%62%54%
2.544%33%62%38%
3.511%11%23%8%
4.511%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico MadridClub Brugge KV
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricAtletico MadridClub Brugge KV
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAtletico MadridClub Brugge KV
Wins35
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-36-01-4
Biggest losses1-24-00-34-0
Goals For5364
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricAtletico MadridClub Brugge KV
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ 1xBet
Draw5.30 @ 188Bet
Away7.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Betano
Under 2.52.88 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.34 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 2.83 (league 1.78), Club Brugge KV = 1.42 (league 1.37)

Club Brugge KV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.0% 5.7% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.7% 8.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.6% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.8% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.9% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 16.8%

vtt 12 , vtd1