Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 20:00 • St James' Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.78) 0.58 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.5% 13.4% 6.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.1%
3 - 0
12.1%
1 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 4.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.9% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 8.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.1% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.8% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastleQarabag
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack54%25%
Defense75%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.220 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Qarabag
HATHAT
Played4598715
Wins75%40%56%50%57%53%
Draws0%40%22%13%0%7%
Loses25%20%22%38%43%40%

Form: Newcastle: LWWWLDWDW • Qarabag: WWWWWLWWLDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Newcastle Qarabag
HATHAT
GF total91423181129
GF avg2.32.82.62.31.61.9
GA total268181432
GA avg0.51.20.92.32.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastleQarabag
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%56%87%73%
1.567%33%60%60%
2.544%0%33%33%
3.522%0%7%20%
4.511%0%7%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastleQarabag
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricNewcastleQarabag
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricNewcastleQarabag
Wins35
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-65-10-3
Biggest losses1-22-11-66-0
Goals For3653
Goals Against2266

Model comparison

MetricNewcastleQarabag
Form73%27%
Att68%32%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total76.8%23.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Newcastle and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.19 @ 1xBet
Draw10.00 @ 1xBet
Away19.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle = 2.58 (league 1.78), Qarabag = 0.58 (league 1.37)

Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 4.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.9% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 8.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.1% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.8% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.5% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 6.3%

vtt 4 , vtd1