Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 20:00 • Bernabéu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.78) 0.51 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.8% 27.4% 13.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.7%
0 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 14.8% 7.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.7% 10.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 7.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridBenfica
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack93%53%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Benfica
HATHAT
Played4597613
Wins75%60%67%57%33%46%
Draws0%0%0%0%17%8%
Loses25%40%33%43%50%46%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWLWLWLW • Benfica: WWDWLLLLWWLWL

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Benfica
HATHAT
GF total10122211415
GF avg2.52.42.41.60.71.2
GA total48127613
GA avg1.01.61.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridBenfica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%54%54%
1.556%33%46%31%
2.533%22%8%15%
3.533%11%8%0%
4.522%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridBenfica
HATHAT
Clean sheets123336
Failed to score011246

Penalties

MetricReal MadridBenfica
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricReal MadridBenfica
Wins32
Draws01
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-54-20-2
Biggest losses1-24-22-33-0
Goals For6542
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridBenfica
Form50%50%
Att64%36%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Real Madrid or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ 1xBet
Draw4.70 @ 188Bet
Away5.70 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.37 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.37 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 1.40 (league 1.78), Benfica = 0.51 (league 1.37)

Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 14.8% 7.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.7% 10.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 7.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.8% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 13.5%

vtt 13 , vtd1