Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 17:45 • Chobani Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.55) 0.66 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.5% 39.9% 30.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.0%
0 - 1
17.9%
1 - 0
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fenerbahçe 0 27.0% 17.9% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 11.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFenerbahçeNottingham Forest
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack38%56%
Defense81%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fenerbahçe Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%75%25%50%
Draws25%50%38%0%50%25%
Loses25%25%25%25%25%25%

Form: Fenerbahçe: LWWDDWLD • Nottingham Forest: DLWDWWLW

League goals

Metric Fenerbahçe Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
GF total461011415
GF avg1.01.51.32.81.01.9
GA total347347
GA avg0.81.00.90.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFenerbahçeNottingham Forest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%75%50%
1.525%13%75%25%
2.513%13%25%13%
3.513%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFenerbahçeNottingham Forest
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricFenerbahçeNottingham Forest
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricFenerbahçeNottingham Forest
Wins22
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-44-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-12-31-0
Goals For2442
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricFenerbahçeNottingham Forest
Form38%63%
Att40%60%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.3%58.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nottingham Forest and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ 1xBet
Draw3.42 @ 1xBet
Away3.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fenerbahçe = 0.65 (league 1.55), Nottingham Forest = 0.66 (league 1.21)

Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fenerbahçe 0 27.0% 17.9% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 11.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 39.9% · Away win 30.6%

vtt 9 , vtd1