Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 17:45 • Toumba Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.57) 0.30 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.5% 18.2% 4.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.0%
2 - 0
20.0%
3 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
PAOK 0 11.0% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.0% 6.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.0% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPAOKCelta Vigo
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack75%56%
Defense50%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PAOK Celta Vigo
HATHAT
Played6612448
Wins50%33%42%75%25%50%
Draws50%17%33%0%25%13%
Loses0%50%25%25%50%38%

Form: PAOK: DWLWDLWWDDWL • Celta Vigo: LWWWLLWD

League goals

Metric PAOK Celta Vigo
HATHAT
GF total1211238715
GF avg2.01.81.92.01.81.9
GA total114155611
GA avg0.22.31.31.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePAOKCelta Vigo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%100%88%
1.550%33%63%38%
2.533%33%25%13%
3.525%8%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPAOKCelta Vigo
HATHAT
Clean sheets516011
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricPAOKCelta Vigo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPAOKCelta Vigo
Wins23
Draws20
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-03-43-10-3
Biggest losses—4-21-23-2
Goals For5433
Goals Against1423

Model comparison

MetricPAOKCelta Vigo
Form53%47%
Att57%43%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Celta Vigo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.99 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.99 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): PAOK = 1.91 (league 1.57), Celta Vigo = 0.30 (league 1.21)

Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
PAOK 0 11.0% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.0% 6.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.0% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.5% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 4.9%

vtt 8 , vtd1