Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 20:00 • Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.56) 0.85 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.6% 25.0% 19.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
FK Crvena Zvezda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 8.6% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.8% 11.7% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLilleFK Crvena Zvezda
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack38%31%
Defense75%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lille FK Crvena Zvezda
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses25%75%50%0%50%25%

Form: Lille: WWLLWLLW • FK Crvena Zvezda: DLLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Lille FK Crvena Zvezda
HATHAT
GF total10212437
GF avg2.50.51.51.00.80.9
GA total549246
GA avg1.31.01.10.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLilleFK Crvena Zvezda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%88%50%
1.538%25%0%25%
2.525%13%0%0%
3.513%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLilleFK Crvena Zvezda
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricLilleFK Crvena Zvezda
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLilleFK Crvena Zvezda
Wins24
Draws01
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-11-00-1
Biggest losses3-42-1—2-0
Goals For4111
Goals Against4212

Model comparison

MetricLilleFK Crvena Zvezda
Form32%68%
Att55%45%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total43.8%56.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FK Crvena Zvezda and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ 188Bet
Draw4.25 @ 1xBet
Away5.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.22 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lille = 1.60 (league 1.56), FK Crvena Zvezda = 0.85 (league 1.22)

FK Crvena Zvezda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 8.6% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.8% 11.7% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.6% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 19.8%

vtt 7 , vtd1