Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.25)
1.05 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.5% | 34.5% | 51.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
25.0%
0 - 0
23.9%
0 - 2
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Bamboutos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Racing | 0 | 23.9% | 25.0% | 13.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Racing carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 73 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Racing -16.0, Bamboutos +16.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Racing
vs
Bamboutos
Elo gapRacing +73
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2990.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2990.4
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Racing | Bamboutos |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1514.1 | 1476.3 |
| Form Elo | 1500 | 1482.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1503.1 | 1467.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1408 | 1428.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1610.8 | 1544.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -16.0 | +16.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Racing last-5 Elo change: -16.0; Bamboutos last-5 Elo change: +16.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Racing | Bamboutos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 33% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
39%
FT probability
2.5+
28%
FT probability
3.5+
20%
FT probability
BTTS
43%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Racing | Bamboutos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 25% | 22% | 80% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 40% | 25% | 33% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Loses | 40% | 50% | 44% | 0% | 60% | 30% |
RacingDLLWLLWDD
BamboutosDLWLWLWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Racing | Bamboutos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Racing | Bamboutos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 33% | 20% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Racing | Bamboutos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Racing | Bamboutos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Racing | Bamboutos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Racing | Bamboutos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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