Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.25)
0.42 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.9% | 17.8% | 6.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.8%
1 - 0
17.6%
3 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Bafmeng United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bamboutos | 0 | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.6% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.8% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Bamboutos carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 27 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bamboutos +16.7, Bafmeng United -12.4.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Bamboutos
vs
Bafmeng United
Elo gapBamboutos +27
Home / draw / away39% / 27% / 34%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo2960.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2960.7
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Bamboutos | Bafmeng United |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1476.3 | 1484.4 |
| Form Elo | 1482.7 | 1471 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1508.3 | 1456.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1428.1 | 1410.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1544.4 | 1544.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +16.7 | -12.4 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Bamboutos last-5 Elo change: +16.7; Bafmeng United last-5 Elo change: -12.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bamboutos | Bafmeng United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 40% | 27% |
| Defense | 80% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bamboutos | Bafmeng United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 80% | 0% | 40% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Draws | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 0% | 60% | 30% | 20% | 80% | 50% |
BamboutosDLWLWLWDWD
Bafmeng UnitedLWWLLWLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Bamboutos | Bafmeng United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bamboutos | Bafmeng United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 60% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bamboutos | Bafmeng United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bamboutos | Bafmeng United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bamboutos | Bafmeng United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bamboutos | Bafmeng United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 62.8% | 37.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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