Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.88)
0.05 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.6% | 34.6% | 1.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
34.9%
0 - 0
32.8%
2 - 0
18.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Storfors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SkellefteƄ | 0 | 32.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 34.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
SkellefteƄ carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 123 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: SkellefteƄ +9.6, Storfors -10.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
SkellefteƄ
vs
Storfors
Elo gapSkellefteƄ +123
Home / draw / away55% / 18% / 27%
Expected home share67%
Combined Elo3067.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3067.1
Elo home share
67%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | SkellefteƄ | Storfors |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1577.7 | 1489.4 |
| Form Elo | 1620.9 | 1441.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1501.9 | 1493.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1650.9 | 1495 |
| Defense Elo | 1502.6 | 1497.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +9.6 | -10.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. SkellefteƄ last-5 Elo change: +9.6; Storfors last-5 Elo change: -10.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SkellefteƄ | Storfors |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Attack | 5% | 5% |
| Defense | 100% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
50%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SkellefteƄ | Storfors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | ā | 100% | 100% | ā | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | ā | 0% | 0% | ā | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | ā | 0% | 0% | ā | 100% | 100% |
SkellefteƄW
StorforsL
League goals
| Metric | SkellefteƄ | Storfors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SkellefteƄ | Storfors | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SkellefteƄ | Storfors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | SkellefteƄ | Storfors |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | SkellefteƄ | Storfors |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | ā | 0-1 | ā | ā |
| Biggest losses | ā | ā | ā | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SkellefteƄ | Storfors |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 82% | 18% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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