Sat, May 2 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
4.21 (league 1.90)
0.65 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
best score tips
4 - 0
10.1%
3 - 0
9.6%
5 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Täfteå | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Umeå FC Akademi | 0 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Umeå FC Akademi carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 25 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Umeå FC Akademi +3.9, Täfteå -8.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Umeå FC Akademi
vs
Täfteå
Elo gapUmeå FC Akademi +25
Home / draw / away39% / 27% / 34%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo2935.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2935.5
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Umeå FC Akademi | Täfteå |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1462.9 | 1472.6 |
| Form Elo | 1462.1 | 1468.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1493.4 | 1476 |
| Attack Elo | 1570.6 | 1470.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1331.7 | 1425.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +3.9 | -8.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Umeå FC Akademi last-5 Elo change: +3.9; Täfteå last-5 Elo change: -8.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Umeå FC Akademi | Täfteå |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 33% |
| Attack | 20% | 20% |
| Defense | 67% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Umeå FC Akademi | Täfteå | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
Umeå FC AkademiWDL
TäfteåLLW
League goals
| Metric | Umeå FC Akademi | Täfteå | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Umeå FC Akademi | Täfteå | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Umeå FC Akademi | Täfteå | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Umeå FC Akademi | Täfteå |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Umeå FC Akademi | Täfteå |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Umeå FC Akademi | Täfteå |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 89% | 11% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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