Iraqi League — Iraq
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.18) 1.05 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.9% 29.4% 33.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.8%
0 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Al Minaa Basra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baghdad 0 11.5% 12.1% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.4% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.2% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaghdadAl Minaa Basra
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack33%27%
Defense40%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baghdad Al Minaa Basra
HATHAT
Played97168816
Wins33%29%31%25%25%25%
Draws22%14%19%38%25%31%
Loses44%57%50%38%50%44%

Form: Baghdad: LLWWLLWWWLDLDLLD • Al Minaa Basra: WLLWDWLLDLLLWDDD

League goals

Metric Baghdad Al Minaa Basra
HATHAT
GF total1171810616
GF avg1.21.01.11.30.81.0
GA total13112411920
GA avg1.41.61.51.41.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaghdadAl Minaa Basra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%88%56%81%
1.531%44%25%38%
2.56%19%13%6%
3.56%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaghdadAl Minaa Basra
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score325257

Penalties

MetricBaghdadAl Minaa Basra
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBaghdadAl Minaa Basra
Wins31
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-14-21-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-32-0
Goals For4243
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricBaghdadAl Minaa Basra
Form25%75%
Att56%44%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al Minaa Basra

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baghdad = 1.11 (league 1.18), Al Minaa Basra = 1.05 (league 1.07)

Al Minaa Basra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baghdad 0 11.5% 12.1% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.4% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.2% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.9% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 33.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1