Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 14:00 •
Istiqlol Stadium
Expected Goals
3.23 (league 1.39)
0.81 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
best score tips
3 - 0
9.9%
2 - 0
9.2%
4 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Pakhtakor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Neftchi | 0 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Neftchi | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 80% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 89% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Neftchi | Pakhtakor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
NeftchiWWWWW
PakhtakorWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Neftchi | Pakhtakor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Neftchi | Pakhtakor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 20% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 80% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Neftchi | Pakhtakor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Neftchi | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Neftchi | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Neftchi | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.00 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ 1xBet
Away4.30 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…