Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 15:15 •
Milliy Stadium
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.40)
0.27 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.4% | 34.2% | 9.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
28.0%
0 - 0
26.1%
2 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Andijan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bunyodkor | 0 | 26.1% | 7.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.0% | 7.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.0% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Bunyodkor carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 149 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bunyodkor +29.8, Andijan -18.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Bunyodkor
vs
Andijan
Elo gapBunyodkor +149
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo2981.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2981.9
Elo home share
70%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Bunyodkor | Andijan |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1548.1 | 1433.8 |
| Form Elo | 1566.3 | 1418.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1489.7 | 1437.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1531 | 1417.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1488.2 | 1483.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +29.8 | -18.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Bunyodkor last-5 Elo change: +29.8; Andijan last-5 Elo change: -18.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bunyodkor | Andijan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 53% | 20% |
| Defense | 73% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bunyodkor | Andijan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 80% | 63% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 13% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 67% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
BunyodkorWLDWWWLW
AndijanWLLWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Bunyodkor | Andijan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bunyodkor | Andijan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 25% | 25% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bunyodkor | Andijan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bunyodkor | Andijan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bunyodkor | Andijan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bunyodkor | Andijan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 65.5% | 34.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.41 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.04 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.90 @ BetVictor
No1.87 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365
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League standings
Loading standings…