Thu, Feb 5 2026 • 19:30 •
Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.51)
1.35 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.9% | 28.0% | 47.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Santa Cruz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Decisão | 0 | 11.0% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Decisão | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 57% |
| Defense | 14% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Decisão | Santa Cruz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 75% | 0% | 43% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 67% | 50% | 57% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
DecisãoLLWLWLW
Santa CruzWDWLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Decisão | Santa Cruz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Decisão | Santa Cruz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 71% | 71% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 71% | 29% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 57% | 29% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 29% | 14% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Decisão | Santa Cruz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Decisão | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Decisão | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 3-4 | 6-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Decisão | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 37% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 37.7% | 62.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.35 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away1.91 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…