Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 13:00 • Gaddafi Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.36) 0.77 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 27.3% 20.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Mbarara City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Entebbe UPPC 0 11.3% 8.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.0% 12.2% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.3% 8.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEntebbe UPPCMbarara City
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack50%50%
Defense100%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 09 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Entebbe UPPC Mbarara City
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%63%56%25%13%19%
Draws13%38%25%38%38%38%
Loses38%0%19%38%50%44%

Form: Entebbe UPPC: LWDWLWLWDWWWWDWD • Mbarara City: DLDLLLWLDDWLDLDW

League goals

Metric Entebbe UPPC Mbarara City
HATHAT
GF total611175914
GF avg0.81.41.10.61.10.9
GA total54961925
GA avg0.60.50.60.82.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEntebbe UPPCMbarara City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%44%75%81%
1.525%13%13%31%
2.56%0%0%19%
3.56%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEntebbe UPPCMbarara City
HATHAT
Clean sheets459303
Failed to score415314

Penalties

MetricEntebbe UPPCMbarara City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricEntebbe UPPCMbarara City
Wins41
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-41-01-2
Biggest losses0-2—1-26-1
Goals For2412
Goals Against2226

Model comparison

MetricEntebbe UPPCMbarara City
Form69%31%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Entebbe UPPC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ William Hill
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away7.23 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Entebbe UPPC = 1.42 (league 1.36), Mbarara City = 0.77 (league 0.86)

Mbarara City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Entebbe UPPC 0 11.3% 8.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.0% 12.2% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.3% 8.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 20.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1