Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 17:00 • MTN Omondi Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 1

BUL

Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.36) 0.83 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.5% 25.7% 20.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
BUL
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCCA 0 9.3% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 12.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKCCABUL
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KCCA BUL
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins75%38%56%33%29%31%
Draws13%25%19%33%29%31%
Loses13%38%25%33%43%38%

Form: KCCA: DWDWWLWWWWWLDWLL • BUL: DWDWDDLLLLLWWLWD

League goals

Metric KCCA BUL
HATHAT
GF total157229615
GF avg1.90.91.41.00.90.9
GA total69159817
GA avg0.81.10.91.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKCCABUL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%75%63%
1.544%19%13%31%
2.513%6%6%13%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKCCABUL
HATHAT
Clean sheets325426
Failed to score235314

Penalties

MetricKCCABUL
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricKCCABUL
Wins52
Draws12
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-13-11-33-1
Goals For4231
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricKCCABUL
Form29%71%
Att45%55%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or BUL

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Unibet
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KCCA = 1.54 (league 1.36), BUL = 0.83 (league 0.86)

BUL
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCCA 0 9.3% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 12.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 20.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1