Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 13:00 • Bombo Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.37) 1.04 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 34.8% 53.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.5%
0 - 0
25.3%
0 - 2
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Kitara
0 1 2 3 4 5
UPDF 0 25.3% 26.5% 13.8% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3%
1 8.3% 8.7% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUPDFKitara
Played55
Form7%87%
Attack0%60%
Defense30%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 06 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UPDF Kitara
HATHAT
Played810189817
Wins13%20%17%78%50%65%
Draws25%10%17%22%13%18%
Loses63%70%67%0%38%18%

Form: UPDF: LWLLLWLLWDDLLLLDLL • Kitara: DLWWLWWWWLWDWWWDW

League goals

Metric UPDF Kitara
HATHAT
GF total481217825
GF avg0.50.80.71.91.01.5
GA total719265712
GA avg0.91.91.40.60.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUPDFKitara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%72%82%53%
1.517%39%41%12%
2.50%17%18%6%
3.50%11%6%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUPDFKitara
HATHAT
Clean sheets325538
Failed to score549033

Penalties

MetricUPDFKitara
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricUPDFKitara
Wins14
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-01-2
Biggest losses1-25-1—1-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricUPDFKitara
Form7%93%
Att0%100%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h7%93%
Goals9%91%
Total11.8%88.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kitara and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.30 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away1.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UPDF = 0.33 (league 1.37), Kitara = 1.04 (league 0.86)

Kitara
0 1 2 3 4 5
UPDF 0 25.3% 26.5% 13.8% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3%
1 8.3% 8.7% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 34.8% · Away win 53.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1