Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 13:00 • Rwamwanja stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.36) 1.04 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.2% 34.2% 49.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.1%
0 - 0
22.1%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Kitara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mbarara City 0 22.1% 23.1% 12.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.3% 10.7% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMbarara CityKitara
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack43%86%
Defense14%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mbarara City Kitara
HATHAT
Played910199918
Wins22%10%16%78%44%61%
Draws33%30%32%22%22%22%
Loses44%60%53%0%33%17%

Form: Mbarara City: DLDLLLWLDDWLDLDWLLL • Kitara: DLWWLWWWWLWDWWWDWD

League goals

Metric Mbarara City Kitara
HATHAT
GF total691517926
GF avg0.70.90.81.91.01.4
GA total822305813
GA avg0.92.21.60.60.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMbarara CityKitara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%84%83%56%
1.511%37%39%11%
2.50%16%17%6%
3.50%11%6%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMbarara CityKitara
HATHAT
Clean sheets303538
Failed to score336033

Penalties

MetricMbarara CityKitara
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricMbarara CityKitara
Wins14
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-01-2
Biggest losses1-26-1—1-0
Goals For1243
Goals Against2623

Model comparison

MetricMbarara CityKitara
Form27%73%
Att33%67%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h36%64%
Goals45%55%
Total32.3%67.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kitara and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.76 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Superbet
No1.67 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mbarara City = 0.46 (league 1.36), Kitara = 1.04 (league 0.86)

Kitara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mbarara City 0 22.1% 23.1% 12.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.3% 10.7% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.2% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 49.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1