Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 13:00 • Kiira Road Police Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.36) 1.04 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 29.9% 34.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
SC Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police 0 12.2% 12.7% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 7.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoliceSC Villa
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack57%100%
Defense14%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Police SC Villa
HATHAT
Played9101910818
Wins67%30%47%70%38%56%
Draws11%40%26%30%25%28%
Loses22%30%26%0%38%17%

Form: Police: DWDLWWWLWDWWWLDWDLL • SC Villa: LDWWWWWDLWWWLWDDWD

League goals

Metric Police SC Villa
HATHAT
GF total16143018826
GF avg1.81.41.61.81.01.4
GA total814224610
GA avg0.91.41.20.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoliceSC Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%74%78%44%
1.553%32%33%11%
2.511%5%17%0%
3.55%5%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoliceSC Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets3256410
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricPoliceSC Villa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPoliceSC Villa
Wins35
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-36-10-3
Biggest losses0-24-1—2-1
Goals For4363
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricPoliceSC Villa
Form36%64%
Att33%67%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h15%85%
Goals30%70%
Total29.2%70.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or SC Villa and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away2.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Superbet
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.45 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Police = 1.06 (league 1.36), SC Villa = 1.04 (league 0.86)

SC Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police 0 12.2% 12.7% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 7.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 34.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1