Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 17:00 • Hamz Stadium
Match Finished

URA

1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.36) 0.28 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.5% 20.3% 5.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.0%
2 - 0
20.2%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lugazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
URA 0 13.1% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 6.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.2% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.8% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricURALugazi
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack75%50%
Defense75%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric URA Lugazi
HATHAT
Played1091991019
Wins30%0%16%44%0%21%
Draws40%67%53%33%30%32%
Loses30%33%32%22%70%47%

Form: URA: DDDDWDLWLLLLLDDDDWD • Lugazi: WLDDLWDLLDLLDWDLWLL

League goals

Metric URA Lugazi
HATHAT
GF total1421613215
GF avg1.40.20.81.40.20.8
GA total1271991726
GA avg1.20.81.01.01.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineURALugazi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.537%58%42%68%
1.516%26%16%47%
2.511%16%11%16%
3.55%0%5%5%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricURALugazi
HATHAT
Clean sheets358336
Failed to score57123811

Penalties

MetricURALugazi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricURALugazi
Wins11
Draws42
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-3—5-2—
Biggest losses0-33-00-24-0
Goals For7151
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricURALugazi
Form64%36%
Att60%40%
Def88%13%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h88%13%
Goals100%0%
Total77.2%23.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : URA or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Superbet
Away6.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Superbet
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): URA = 1.75 (league 1.36), Lugazi = 0.28 (league 0.86)

Lugazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
URA 0 13.1% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 6.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.2% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.8% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.5% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 5.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1