Premier League
— Uganda
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 13:00 •
FUFA Technical Centre
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.36)
1.05 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.0% | 19.0% | 16.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.4%
1 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Mbarara City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BUL | 0 | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | BUL | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | BUL | Mbarara City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 40% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| Draws | 30% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Loses | 30% | 40% | 35% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
Form: BUL: DWDWDDLLLLLWWLWDLWWW • Mbarara City: DLDLLLWLDDWLDLDWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | BUL | Mbarara City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | BUL | Mbarara City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 65% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 30% | 10% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | BUL | Mbarara City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | BUL | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | BUL | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | BUL | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
Advice: Winner : BUL
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): BUL = 2.27 (league 1.36), Mbarara City = 1.05 (league 0.86)
| Mbarara City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BUL | 0 | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 16.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1