Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 13:00 • Kiira Road Police Arena
Match Finished
0 - 1

NEC

Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.36) 0.83 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.3% 32.3% 29.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
0 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
NEC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police 0 15.9% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.0% 13.3% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.0% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoliceNEC
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack63%88%
Defense25%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Police NEC
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins70%30%50%40%30%35%
Draws10%40%25%60%40%50%
Loses20%30%25%0%30%15%

Form: Police: DWDLWWWLWDWWWLDWDLLW • NEC: DDLWDLWDDLDWDWDWDWWD

League goals

Metric Police NEC
HATHAT
GF total17143113922
GF avg1.71.41.61.30.91.1
GA total814228816
GA avg0.81.41.10.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoliceNEC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%80%55%
1.550%30%20%20%
2.510%5%10%5%
3.55%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoliceNEC
HATHAT
Clean sheets426549
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricPoliceNEC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPoliceNEC
Wins32
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-1—2-1
Goals For4332
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricPoliceNEC
Form39%61%
Att42%58%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or NEC and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.82 @ Marathonbet
Away2.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Marathonbet
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Police = 1.00 (league 1.36), NEC = 0.83 (league 0.86)

NEC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police 0 15.9% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.0% 13.3% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.0% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.3% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 29.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1