Premier League
— Uganda
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:00 •
Lugazi FC Stadium
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.36)
1.16 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.2% | 29.1% | 38.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| KCCA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lugazi | 0 | 11.2% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lugazi | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Attack | 22% | 100% |
| Defense | 11% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lugazi | KCCA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 44% | 0% | 20% | 82% | 44% | 65% |
| Draws | 33% | 27% | 30% | 9% | 22% | 15% |
| Loses | 22% | 73% | 50% | 9% | 33% | 20% |
Form: Lugazi: WLDDLWDLLDLLDWDLWLLL • KCCA: DWDWWLWWWWWLDWLLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Lugazi | KCCA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 2 | 15 | 22 | 9 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 9 | 18 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lugazi | KCCA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 70% | 75% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 45% | 55% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 15% | 15% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lugazi | KCCA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lugazi | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lugazi | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | — | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lugazi | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 27.3% | 72.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or KCCA
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lugazi = 1.03 (league 1.36), KCCA = 1.16 (league 0.86)
| KCCA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lugazi | 0 | 11.2% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.2% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 38.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1