Premier League
— Uganda
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:00 •
Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.37)
0.28 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9% | 24.2% | 6.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.1%
2 - 0
19.2%
0 - 0
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
| UPDF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maroons | 0 | 16.4% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.1% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Maroons | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 38% | 25% |
| Defense | 50% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Maroons | UPDF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 30% | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Draws | 50% | 20% | 35% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Loses | 10% | 60% | 35% | 60% | 70% | 65% |
Form: Maroons: LWDLDLWDWLWLDDDLLDWW • UPDF: LWLLLWLLWDDLLLLDLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Maroons | UPDF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 6 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 19 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Maroons | UPDF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 55% | 55% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 20% | 15% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Maroons | UPDF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Maroons | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Maroons | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Maroons | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Maroons or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Maroons = 1.53 (league 1.37), UPDF = 0.28 (league 0.86)
| UPDF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maroons | 0 | 16.4% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.1% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.9% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 6.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1