Premier League
— Uganda
Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 13:00 •
Lugazi FC Stadium
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.31)
1.43 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.1% | 27.1% | 54.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.1%
0 - 2
12.2%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| SC Villa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lugazi | 0 | 11.9% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lugazi | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 7% | 27% |
| Defense | 53% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lugazi | SC Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 36% | 0% | 17% | 67% | 40% | 55% |
| Draws | 36% | 33% | 35% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Loses | 27% | 67% | 48% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
LugaziWLDDLWDLLDLLDWDLWLLLLDD
SC VillaLDWWWWWDLWWWLWDDWDLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Lugazi | SC Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 2 | 16 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 13 | 18 | 31 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lugazi | SC Villa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 39% | 70% | 77% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 43% | 32% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 17% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lugazi | SC Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lugazi | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lugazi | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | — | 6-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lugazi | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 26.2% | 73.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away1.70 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.56 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.57 @ William Hill
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League standings
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