Premier League
— Uganda
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 •
MTN Omondi Stadium
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.30)
0.67 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6% | 18.7% | 10.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 0
13.1%
3 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Mbarara City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NEC | 0 | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | NEC | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 13% |
| Attack | 38% | 50% |
| Defense | 100% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | NEC | Mbarara City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 17% | 8% | 13% |
| Draws | 50% | 42% | 46% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 50% | 58% | 54% |
NECDDLWDLWDDLDWDWDWDWWDWWWD
Mbarara CityDLDLLLWLDDWLDLDWLLLLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | NEC | Mbarara City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 25 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | NEC | Mbarara City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 46% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 17% | 13% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 4% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | NEC | Mbarara City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | NEC | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | NEC | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | NEC | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 85% | 15% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 88% | 13% |
| Total | 72.8% | 27.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.33 @ Unibet
Draw5.11 @ Pinnacle
Away11.80 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.79 @ Marathonbet
No1.40 @ William Hill
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League standings
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