Premier League
— Uganda
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Lugazi FC Stadium
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.31)
1.15 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.3% | 31.1% | 45.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.5%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Kitara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lugazi | 0 | 15.3% | 17.5% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lugazi | Kitara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 33% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lugazi | Kitara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 73% | 42% | 57% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 27% | 25% | 26% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
LugaziWLDDLWDLLDLLDWDLWLLLLDDL
KitaraDLWWLWWWWLWDWWWDWDWWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Lugazi | Kitara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 2 | 16 | 21 | 10 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 14 | 18 | 32 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lugazi | Kitara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 71% | 74% | 48% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 42% | 35% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 17% | 17% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lugazi | Kitara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lugazi | Kitara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lugazi | Kitara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | — | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lugazi | Kitara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 20.2% | 80.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.11 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Betfair
Away1.77 @ Dafabet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.29 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
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League standings
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