J2 League — Japan
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 05:00 • Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.27) 1.71 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 21.1% 31.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Kagoshima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagan Tosu 0 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.8% 8.2% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.4% 7.1% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.4% 5.7% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSagan TosuKagoshima United
Played33
Form33%67%
Attack45%55%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.76 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 24 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sagan Tosu Kagoshima United
HATHAT
Played123303
Wins100%0%33%67%—67%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses0%100%67%33%—33%

Form: Sagan Tosu: LWL • Kagoshima United: LWW

League goals

Metric Sagan Tosu Kagoshima United
HATHAT
GF total235606
GF avg2.01.51.72.00.02.0
GA total156404
GA avg1.02.52.01.30.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSagan TosuKagoshima United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%67%
1.567%67%67%33%
2.50%33%33%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSagan TosuKagoshima United
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSagan TosuKagoshima United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSagan TosuKagoshima United
Wins10
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-1—
Biggest losses—3-22-3—
Goals For2230
Goals Against1330

Model comparison

MetricSagan TosuKagoshima United
Form33%67%
Att45%55%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.6%56.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kagoshima United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sagan Tosu = 2.05 (league 1.27), Kagoshima United = 1.71 (league 1.17)

Kagoshima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagan Tosu 0 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.8% 8.2% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.4% 7.1% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.4% 5.7% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 31.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1