J2/J3 League
— Japan
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 05:00 •
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.31)
0.42 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.9% | 14.9% | 5.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.4%
1 - 0
15.2%
3 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Kitakyushu | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sagan Tosu | 0 | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.3% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Kitakyushu |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 0% |
| Attack | 83% | 83% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Kitakyushu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Sagan TosuLWLLL
KitakyushuLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Kitakyushu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sagan Tosu | Kitakyushu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 100% | 80% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 20% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Kitakyushu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Kitakyushu |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Kitakyushu |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Kitakyushu |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.8% | 39.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away5.07 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…