J2/J3 League — Japan
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 05:00 • Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.31) 2.37 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.3% 19.2% 55.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
7.7%
1 - 3
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sagan Tosu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitakyushu 0 2.3% 5.6% 6.6% 5.2% 3.1% 1.5%
1 3.3% 7.7% 9.1% 7.2% 4.2% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.3% 6.3% 5.0% 2.9% 1.4%
3 1.0% 2.5% 2.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKitakyushuSagan Tosu
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack33%33%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kitakyushu Sagan Tosu
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins25%20%22%50%40%44%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses75%80%78%50%60%56%
KitakyushuLLLLLLWWL
Sagan TosuLWLLLWWWL

League goals

Metric Kitakyushu Sagan Tosu
HATHAT
GF total5383710
GF avg1.30.60.90.81.41.1
GA total89173710
GA avg2.01.81.90.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKitakyushuSagan Tosu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%67%67%
1.511%67%44%33%
2.50%33%0%11%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKitakyushuSagan Tosu
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricKitakyushuSagan Tosu
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKitakyushuSagan Tosu
Wins23
Draws00
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-10-2
Biggest losses1-34-10-12-0
Goals For2122
Goals Against3413

Model comparison

MetricKitakyushuSagan Tosu
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total35.6%64.4%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ BetVictor
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away2.18 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Unibet
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League standings

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