Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki

J2/J3 League — Japan

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 05:00 • Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium

Match Finished

home	draw	away
14.4%	19.1%	64.0%

		Iwaki
Consadole Sapporo	0	4.5%	9.8%	10.8%	7.8%	4.3%	1.9%
1	4.1%	9.0%	9.8%	7.2%	3.9%	1.7%
2	1.9%	4.1%	4.5%	3.3%	1.8%	0.8%
3	0.6%	1.3%	1.4%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Away strong edge

Iwaki carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 91 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Consadole Sapporo -0.4, Iwaki +27.5.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone

Consadole Sapporo Elo 1452.1 · -0.4

Iwaki Elo 1578.2 · +27.5

Elo gapIwaki +91

Home / draw / away30% / 20% / 50%

Expected home share37%

Combined Elo3030.3

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Away strong edge

Confidence band Strong confidence

Upset risk Low

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3030.3

Elo home share 37%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Consadole Sapporo	Iwaki
Overall Elo	1452.1	1578.2
Form Elo	1446.3	1593.5
Home / Away Elo	1486.3	1543
Attack Elo	1477	1552.7
Defense Elo	1392.4	1573.1
Last 5 Elo change	-0.4	+27.5

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Consadole Sapporo last-5 Elo change: -0.4; Iwaki last-5 Elo change: +27.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Consadole Sapporo	Iwaki
Played	5	5
Form	60%	100%
Attack	46%	85%
Defense	54%	62%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	11 \| 2.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%

FT probability

2.5+

54%

FT probability

3.5+

38%

FT probability

BTTS

73%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Consadole Sapporo			Iwaki
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	4	7	11	6	5	11
Wins	50%	43%	45%	83%	80%	82%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	50%	57%	55%	17%	20%	18%

Consadole SapporoLLWLLWWWLLW

IwakiWWLLWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric	Consadole Sapporo			Iwaki
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	4	8	12	9	10	19
GF avg	1.0	1.1	1.1	1.5	2.0	1.7
GA total	5	11	16	4	6	10
GA avg	1.3	1.6	1.5	0.7	1.2	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Consadole Sapporo		Iwaki
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	73%	82%	91%	64%
1.5	36%	45%	45%	27%
2.5	0%	18%	36%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Consadole Sapporo			Iwaki
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	1	2	3	1	4
Failed to score	1	2	3	0	1	1

Penalties

Metric	Consadole Sapporo	Iwaki
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	0

Streaks

Metric	Consadole Sapporo	Iwaki
Wins	3	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	1-2	3-1	1-3
Biggest losses	0-2	3-0	1-2	1-0
Goals For	2	2	3	3
Goals Against	2	3	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Consadole Sapporo	Iwaki
Form	38%	63%
Att	35%	65%
Def	45%	55%
Poisson Distribution	30%	70%
H2h	9%	91%
Goals	25%	75%
Total	30.3%	69.8%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ BetVictor

Draw3.45 @ Dafabet

Away2.38 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 10Bet

Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365

No2.06 @ Unibet

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki

Metric	Consadole Sapporo	Iwaki
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	0

Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki