J2/J3 League — Japan
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 06:00 • Ningineer Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.31) 0.44 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.6% 37.3% 17.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.9%
1 - 0
23.7%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ehime FC 0 25.9% 11.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.7% 10.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.8% 4.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Ehime FC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 23 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ehime FC +49.9, Kamatamare Sanuki +2.0.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Ehime FC Elo 1393.3 · +49.9
vs
Kamatamare Sanuki Elo 1405.2 · +2.0
Elo gapEhime FC +23
Home / draw / away38% / 27% / 35%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo2798.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2798.5
Elo home share 53%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Ehime FC Kamatamare Sanuki
Overall Elo1393.31405.2
Form Elo1420.61394.3
Home / Away Elo1406.81459.4
Attack Elo1387.21401.4
Defense Elo1400.51370.3
Last 5 Elo change+49.9+2.0

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Ehime FC last-5 Elo change: +49.9; Kamatamare Sanuki last-5 Elo change: +2.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEhime FCKamatamare Sanuki
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack67%56%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-1
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ehime FC Kamatamare Sanuki
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins33%60%45%50%20%36%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses67%40%55%50%80%64%
Ehime FCLLWLLLWLWWW
Kamatamare SanukiWLLLWLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Ehime FC Kamatamare Sanuki
HATHAT
GF total6713628
GF avg1.01.41.21.00.40.7
GA total861414620
GA avg1.31.21.32.31.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEhime FCKamatamare Sanuki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%73%55%73%
1.536%36%9%45%
2.518%18%9%27%
3.50%0%0%18%
4.50%0%0%18%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEhime FCKamatamare Sanuki
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score314235

Penalties

MetricEhime FCKamatamare Sanuki
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEhime FCKamatamare Sanuki
Wins12
Draws00
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-33-10-1
Biggest losses2-33-20-52-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against3352

Model comparison

MetricEhime FCKamatamare Sanuki
Form67%33%
Att55%45%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total64.5%35.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away4.38 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ William Hill
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League standings

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