J2/J3 League
— Japan
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 06:00 •
Ningineer Stadium
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.31)
0.44 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.6% | 37.3% | 17.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.9%
1 - 0
23.7%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Kamatamare Sanuki | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ehime FC | 0 | 25.9% | 11.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.7% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Ehime FC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 23 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ehime FC +49.9, Kamatamare Sanuki +2.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Ehime FC
vs
Kamatamare Sanuki
Elo gapEhime FC +23
Home / draw / away38% / 27% / 35%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo2798.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2798.5
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Ehime FC | Kamatamare Sanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1393.3 | 1405.2 |
| Form Elo | 1420.6 | 1394.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1406.8 | 1459.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1387.2 | 1401.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1400.5 | 1370.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +49.9 | +2.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Ehime FC last-5 Elo change: +49.9; Kamatamare Sanuki last-5 Elo change: +2.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ehime FC | Kamatamare Sanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 67% | 56% |
| Defense | 67% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ehime FC | Kamatamare Sanuki | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 33% | 60% | 45% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 40% | 55% | 50% | 80% | 64% |
Ehime FCLLWLLLWLWWW
Kamatamare SanukiWLLLWLWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Ehime FC | Kamatamare Sanuki | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ehime FC | Kamatamare Sanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 73% | 55% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 9% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 18% | 9% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ehime FC | Kamatamare Sanuki | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ehime FC | Kamatamare Sanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ehime FC | Kamatamare Sanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-2 | 0-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ehime FC | Kamatamare Sanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 64.5% | 35.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.89 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away4.38 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
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