Second Division
— Qatar
Thu, Apr 30 2026 • 16:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
3.63 (league 1.49)
1.38 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.3%
4 - 1
6.7%
2 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Muaither SC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Mesaimeer | 0 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Muaither SC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 19 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Al Mesaimeer -9.0, Muaither SC +19.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Al Mesaimeer
vs
Muaither SC
Elo gapMuaither SC +19
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo3002.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3002.2
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Al Mesaimeer | Muaither SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1474.3 | 1527.9 |
| Form Elo | 1475.9 | 1524.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1505.4 | 1501.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1519.3 | 1580.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1465.8 | 1431.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -9.0 | +19.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Al Mesaimeer last-5 Elo change: -9.0; Muaither SC last-5 Elo change: +19.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Mesaimeer | Muaither SC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 33% | 78% |
| Defense | 61% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Mesaimeer | Muaither SC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 50% | 29% | 38% | 29% | 50% | 38% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 15% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 17% | 71% | 46% | 43% | 33% | 38% |
Al MesaimeerLWLDLWWDLWLLW
Muaither SCDWLLWLLDWDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Al Mesaimeer | Muaither SC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Mesaimeer | Muaither SC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 69% | 77% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 62% | 46% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 8% | 38% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 15% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Mesaimeer | Muaither SC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Mesaimeer | Muaither SC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Mesaimeer | Muaither SC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Mesaimeer | Muaither SC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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