Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
10.64 (league 1.13) 0.05 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 0.0% 0.0%
best score tips
5 - 0
2.6%
4 - 0
1.2%
3 - 0
0.5%
Score & goals probability table
Progreso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Maldonado 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoProgreso
Played11
Form100%0%
Attack25%0%
Defense88%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 40 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 23 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Maldonado Progreso
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—100%100%0%—0%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%100%—100%

Form: Deportivo Maldonado: W • Progreso: L

League goals

Metric Deportivo Maldonado Progreso
HATHAT
GF total044000
GF avg0.04.04.00.00.00.0
GA total022303
GA avg0.02.02.03.00.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo MaldonadoProgreso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%0%100%
1.5100%100%0%100%
2.5100%0%0%100%
3.5100%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoProgreso
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoProgreso
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoProgreso
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-4——
Biggest losses——0-3—
Goals For0400
Goals Against0230

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo MaldonadoProgreso
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Deportivo Maldonado and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ 888Sport
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Maldonado = 10.64 (league 1.13), Progreso = 0.05 (league 0.93)

Progreso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Maldonado 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 0.0% · Away win 0.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1