Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 22:00 •
Estadio Presidente Vargas
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.24)
0.43 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.5% | 37.0% | 16.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.7%
1 - 0
23.9%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Guarany de Bagé | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inter Santa Maria | 0 | 25.7% | 11.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.9% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Inter Santa Maria | Guarany de Bagé |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 28% | 28% |
| Defense | 67% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Inter Santa Maria | Guarany de Bagé | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 11% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Draws | 50% | 40% | 44% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 25% | 60% | 44% | 20% | 75% | 44% |
Inter Santa MariaDDLLLWDDL
Guarany de BagéDDLLWLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Inter Santa Maria | Guarany de Bagé | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Inter Santa Maria | Guarany de Bagé | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 67% | 67% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 22% | 11% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Inter Santa Maria | Guarany de Bagé | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Inter Santa Maria | Guarany de Bagé |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Inter Santa Maria | Guarany de Bagé |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Inter Santa Maria | Guarany de Bagé |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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