Ykkönen — Finland
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 15:30 • Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass
Not Started

Tampere United

—

VJS

Expected Goals
4.04 (league 1.98) 0.24 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.2% 3.1% 0.6%
best score tips
4 - 0
15.4%
3 - 0
15.3%
5 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
VJS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tampere United 0 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.3% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.3% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.4% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.5% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

VJS carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 147 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Tampere United +17.0, VJS -31.8.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Tampere United Elo 1469.4 · +17.0
vs
VJS Elo 1651 · -31.8
Elo gapVJS +147
Home / draw / away25% / 18% / 57%
Expected home share30%
Combined Elo3120.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3120.4
Elo home share 30%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Tampere United VJS
Overall Elo1469.41651
Form Elo1495.21605
Home / Away Elo1487.31543.4
Attack Elo1512.71931.4
Defense Elo1469.41639.4
Last 5 Elo change+17.0-31.8

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Tampere United last-5 Elo change: +17.0; VJS last-5 Elo change: -31.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTampere UnitedVJS
Played33
Form67%11%
Attack67%17%
Defense83%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.72 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.75 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tampere United VJS
HATHAT
Played213123
Wins100%0%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%100%0%33%
Loses0%100%33%0%100%67%
Tampere UnitedWLW
VJSLLD

League goals

Metric Tampere United VJS
HATHAT
GF total808112
GF avg4.00.02.71.00.50.7
GA total022145
GA avg0.02.00.71.02.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTampere UnitedVJS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%67%100%
1.567%33%0%33%
2.567%0%0%33%
3.567%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTampere UnitedVJS
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricTampere UnitedVJS
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTampere UnitedVJS
Wins10
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0———
Biggest losses—2-0—3-1
Goals For4011
Goals Against0213

Model comparison

MetricTampere UnitedVJS
Form86%14%
Att80%20%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals59%41%
Total73.4%26.6%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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