Sat, May 2 2026 • 13:00 •
Veritas Stadion
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.99)
4.04 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.2% | 11.9% | 51.4% |
best score tips
2 - 4
5.3%
1 - 4
5.3%
2 - 3
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Tampere United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inter Turku II | 0 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Inter Turku II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 31 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Inter Turku II -5.4, Tampere United +7.2.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Inter Turku II
vs
Tampere United
Elo gapInter Turku II +31
Home / draw / away40% / 27% / 33%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo2914.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2914.8
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Inter Turku II | Tampere United |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1455.2 | 1459.6 |
| Form Elo | 1458.2 | 1463.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1480.3 | 1482.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1658.2 | 1499.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1338.7 | 1451.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -5.4 | +7.2 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Inter Turku II last-5 Elo change: -5.4; Tampere United last-5 Elo change: +7.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Inter Turku II | Tampere United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 50% |
| Attack | 45% | 40% |
| Defense | 45% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Inter Turku II | Tampere United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 67% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 50% |
Inter Turku IILLDW
Tampere UnitedWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Inter Turku II | Tampere United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Inter Turku II | Tampere United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 50% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Inter Turku II | Tampere United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Inter Turku II | Tampere United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Inter Turku II | Tampere United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-3 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 3-2 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Inter Turku II | Tampere United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 52.2% | 47.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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