Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 19:45 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.14) 1.56 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.5% 17.9% 21.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Fiori 0 1.5% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.0% 6.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.3% 8.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
4 3.0% 4.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTre FioriVirtus
Played53
Form73%78%
Attack100%55%
Defense82%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.41 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tre Fiori Virtus
HATHAT
Played235213
Wins100%33%60%50%100%67%
Draws0%67%40%50%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Tre Fiori: DWWWD • Virtus: WWD

League goals

Metric Tre Fiori Virtus
HATHAT
GF total6511336
GF avg3.01.72.21.53.02.0
GA total112011
GA avg0.50.30.40.01.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTre FioriVirtus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%67%33%
1.560%0%67%0%
2.560%0%67%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTre FioriVirtus
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricTre FioriVirtus
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricTre FioriVirtus
Wins32
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-01-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For3433
Goals Against1101

Model comparison

MetricTre FioriVirtus
Form61%39%
Att65%35%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h38%62%
Goals57%43%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Tre Fiori or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Marathonbet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tre Fiori = 2.63 (league 1.14), Virtus = 1.56 (league 0.96)

Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Fiori 0 1.5% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.0% 6.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.3% 8.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
4 3.0% 4.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.5% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 21.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1