Sat, May 2 2026 • 07:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.67)
1.75 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.2% | 22.5% | 64.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.7%
0 - 2
14.6%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Newcastle Jets II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dulwich Hill | 0 | 9.6% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Newcastle Jets II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 69 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dulwich Hill +56.9, Newcastle Jets II +16.1.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Dulwich Hill
vs
Newcastle Jets II
Elo gapNewcastle Jets II +69
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share40%
Combined Elo2977.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2977.2
Elo home share
40%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Dulwich Hill | Newcastle Jets II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1436.4 | 1540.8 |
| Form Elo | 1453.1 | 1547.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1462.9 | 1550.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1438.3 | 1723 |
| Defense Elo | 1315.3 | 1410.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +56.9 | +16.1 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Dulwich Hill last-5 Elo change: +56.9; Newcastle Jets II last-5 Elo change: +16.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dulwich Hill | Newcastle Jets II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 67% |
| Attack | 62% | 92% |
| Defense | 77% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dulwich Hill | Newcastle Jets II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 17% | 50% | 33% | 29% | 40% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 29% | 60% | 42% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 42% | 43% | 0% | 25% |
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Newcastle Jets IIDLDLDWDDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Dulwich Hill | Newcastle Jets II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 5 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dulwich Hill | Newcastle Jets II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 75% | 92% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 50% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 17% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dulwich Hill | Newcastle Jets II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dulwich Hill | Newcastle Jets II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dulwich Hill | Newcastle Jets II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 2-0 | 1-4 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dulwich Hill | Newcastle Jets II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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