Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:00 • Stade Olympique de Sousse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.13) 0.79 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.9% 35.8% 32.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.9%
0 - 1
16.4%
1 - 0
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
US Monastirienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Sahel 0 20.9% 16.4% 6.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.3% 12.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES SahelUS Monastirienne
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack33%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Sahel US Monastirienne
HATHAT
Played1091991019
Wins40%22%32%67%20%42%
Draws20%44%32%33%60%47%
Loses40%33%37%0%20%11%

Form: ES Sahel: LLDWDLWDLLWWWDLWLDD • US Monastirienne: DDWDDWWDWLDDDWWDWLW

League goals

Metric ES Sahel US Monastirienne
HATHAT
GF total1171812820
GF avg1.10.80.91.30.81.1
GA total89174812
GA avg0.81.00.90.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES SahelUS Monastirienne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%53%74%53%
1.526%21%32%11%
2.55%16%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES SahelUS Monastirienne
HATHAT
Clean sheets549549
Failed to score347145

Penalties

MetricES SahelUS Monastirienne
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricES SahelUS Monastirienne
Wins32
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-01-2
Biggest losses2-33-0—2-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricES SahelUS Monastirienne
Form33%67%
Att17%83%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or US Monastirienne and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.60 @ Unibet
Away3.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.54.00 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.28 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.95 @ Superbet
No1.44 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ES Sahel = 0.78 (league 1.13), US Monastirienne = 0.79 (league 0.81)

US Monastirienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Sahel 0 20.9% 16.4% 6.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.3% 12.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.9% · Draw 35.8% · Away win 32.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1