Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:00 • Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.13) 0.44 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 28.3% 12.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.5%
0 - 0
16.7%
2 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
AS Gabes
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Zarzis 0 16.7% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.5% 10.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 6.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES ZarzisAS Gabes
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack100%67%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Zarzis AS Gabes
HATHAT
Played8101891019
Wins25%50%39%22%0%11%
Draws38%20%28%56%20%37%
Loses38%30%33%22%80%53%

Form: ES Zarzis: WWWDWLWLLDWLDWLLDD • AS Gabes: DDWLLLDLLDLDLDLLWLD

League goals

Metric ES Zarzis AS Gabes
HATHAT
GF total61319549
GF avg0.81.31.10.60.40.5
GA total791651924
GA avg0.90.90.90.61.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES ZarzisAS Gabes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%42%74%
1.528%22%5%32%
2.517%11%0%16%
3.56%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES ZarzisAS Gabes
HATHAT
Clean sheets448415
Failed to score4485611

Penalties

MetricES ZarzisAS Gabes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricES ZarzisAS Gabes
Wins31
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-42-1—
Biggest losses1-33-00-14-0
Goals For3421
Goals Against3314

Model comparison

MetricES ZarzisAS Gabes
Form56%44%
Att67%33%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%38%
Total63.8%36.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : ES Zarzis or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.90 @ Superbet
No1.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ES Zarzis = 1.35 (league 1.13), AS Gabes = 0.44 (league 0.81)

AS Gabes
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Zarzis 0 16.7% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.5% 10.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 6.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 12.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1