Iraqi League — Iraq
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.18) 0.56 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.7% 39.2% 24.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.5%
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Karma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diyala 0 26.5% 14.8% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 11.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.8% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDiyalaAl-Karma
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack44%89%
Defense44%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Diyala Al-Karma
HATHAT
Played791610717
Wins43%33%38%60%57%59%
Draws57%22%38%40%0%24%
Loses0%44%25%0%43%18%

Form: Diyala: WWWDLWDWDLDLDDLW • Al-Karma: WWDLWLWDWWLWWWWDD

League goals

Metric Diyala Al-Karma
HATHAT
GF total9101915722
GF avg1.31.11.21.51.01.3
GA total41115459
GA avg0.61.20.90.40.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDiyalaAl-Karma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%76%47%
1.525%19%35%6%
2.56%0%12%0%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDiyalaAl-Karma
HATHAT
Clean sheets314639
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricDiyalaAl-Karma
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricDiyalaAl-Karma
Wins34
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-01-3
Biggest losses—2-1—2-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricDiyalaAl-Karma
Form31%69%
Att33%67%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total43.6%56.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al-Karma and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.98 @ 1xBet
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away2.12 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ Superbet
No1.54 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Diyala = 0.77 (league 1.18), Al-Karma = 0.56 (league 1.07)

Al-Karma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diyala 0 26.5% 14.8% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 11.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.8% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.7% · Draw 39.2% · Away win 24.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1